Before The Holiday, The Potassium Chloride Market Went This Way.
2023年01月18日
Jinlianchuang
3908
指南
亮点速览
当前国内钾肥市场整体趋稳，价格波动有限。国产60%氯化钾主流报价3520-3600元/吨，低端小幅上涨20元/吨；进口62%白钾报3700-3750元/吨，港口库存超240万吨且高度集中，支撑价格高位运行；老挝钾及边贸钾受需求不足影响，价格一度下探至3450元/吨，后小幅回升至3480-3500元/吨。下游采购以刚需为主，复合肥厂节前备货节奏放缓，经销商观望情绪浓厚。春节临近叠加疫情缓和，终端补货或带动短期价格微幅上行。节前市场难有明显变化，节后需求释放节奏及大合同签订、港口库存变动、国内企业开工情况将成为关键影响因素，市场存在阶段性宽松可能。
At present, the domestic potassium 60% crystal mainstream is 3,520-3,600 yuan/ton, the imported potassium 62% white potassium mainstream is 3,700-3,750 yuan/ton, and Laos potassium is 3,500-3,550 yuan/ton. The overall market has not changed much.
In terms of domestic potassium, the low-end prices of some traders have increased slightly due to the decrease in the operating rate of large-scale plants and the continuous shutdown and maintenance of small plants, which has slightly tightened the supply. The price of 60% crystal is mostly 3,520-3,600 yuan/ton, and the low end has slightly increased by 20 yuan/ton; The market price of 57% powder in small factories is 3200-3300 yuan/ton, but the market transactions are mainly discussed, and the follow-up of new orders is limited.
In terms of imported potassium, the market port stock is more than 2.4 million tons, most of which are concentrated in the hands of large traders, and the supply is highly concentrated, so the price has always remained at a high level in the case of weak demand. At present, most downstream markets purchase on demand, and some compound fertilizer factories do fertilizer preparation work before the Spring Festival. Affected by the market atmosphere and the possible extension of this year's big maritime contract, dealers are more cautious about taking goods and selling them. The transaction reference of 62% white potassium in the port is 3700-3750 yuan/ton, Russian red powder is 3600-3800 yuan/ton, and large particles are 3800-3900 yuan/ton.
In terms of border trade potassium, the supply of goods has successively crossed the shore. Under the insufficient demand follow-up, the low-end price of 62% white potassium fell to 3450 yuan/ton. Later this week, some downstream factories replenished a small amount to drive the market price back to 3480-3500 yuan/ton, and did not have a great impact on the port price.
Judging from the above situation, the market as a whole tends to be stable, except that the price of imported potassium and border trade areas fluctuates slightly by 20 yuan/ton. Affected by the off-season, the price in the early stage of the market decreased steadily and slightly, and the downstream market was cautious and the transaction atmosphere was weak. As the Spring Festival approaches and the domestic epidemic situation improves, manufacturers are making the last round of purchase and delivery, which will drive the market to be quite expensive.
The influencing factors in the later period of potassium chloride market mainly depend on the signing of large contracts, changes in Hong Kong deposits and the start-up of domestic potassium enterprises. Judging from the supply and demand situation, it is predicted that the market situation will not change much before the holiday. After the holiday, downstream users replenish their goods in place one after another, re-enter the market or tend to be cautious, and there is no lack of possibility of a slight loosening of the market.
In terms of domestic potassium, the low-end prices of some traders have increased slightly due to the decrease in the operating rate of large-scale plants and the continuous shutdown and maintenance of small plants, which has slightly tightened the supply. The price of 60% crystal is mostly 3,520-3,600 yuan/ton, and the low end has slightly increased by 20 yuan/ton; The market price of 57% powder in small factories is 3200-3300 yuan/ton, but the market transactions are mainly discussed, and the follow-up of new orders is limited.
In terms of imported potassium, the market port stock is more than 2.4 million tons, most of which are concentrated in the hands of large traders, and the supply is highly concentrated, so the price has always remained at a high level in the case of weak demand. At present, most downstream markets purchase on demand, and some compound fertilizer factories do fertilizer preparation work before the Spring Festival. Affected by the market atmosphere and the possible extension of this year's big maritime contract, dealers are more cautious about taking goods and selling them. The transaction reference of 62% white potassium in the port is 3700-3750 yuan/ton, Russian red powder is 3600-3800 yuan/ton, and large particles are 3800-3900 yuan/ton.
In terms of border trade potassium, the supply of goods has successively crossed the shore. Under the insufficient demand follow-up, the low-end price of 62% white potassium fell to 3450 yuan/ton. Later this week, some downstream factories replenished a small amount to drive the market price back to 3480-3500 yuan/ton, and did not have a great impact on the port price.
Judging from the above situation, the market as a whole tends to be stable, except that the price of imported potassium and border trade areas fluctuates slightly by 20 yuan/ton. Affected by the off-season, the price in the early stage of the market decreased steadily and slightly, and the downstream market was cautious and the transaction atmosphere was weak. As the Spring Festival approaches and the domestic epidemic situation improves, manufacturers are making the last round of purchase and delivery, which will drive the market to be quite expensive.
The influencing factors in the later period of potassium chloride market mainly depend on the signing of large contracts, changes in Hong Kong deposits and the start-up of domestic potassium enterprises. Judging from the supply and demand situation, it is predicted that the market situation will not change much before the holiday. After the holiday, downstream users replenish their goods in place one after another, re-enter the market or tend to be cautious, and there is no lack of possibility of a slight loosening of the market.
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